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August 24, 2009

Monetary Policy
2009.8.10.OilImportBillBreakeven3.0 Iran

This chart plots oil prices against Iran’s estimated import bill “break-even” oil price — the price below which Iran either had, or would have had, to find sources of hard currency other than oil e…

August 17, 2017

Iran
"Reform" in Iran

During June’s presidential election in Iran, many Westerners strongly hoped for a Hassan Rouhani victory. Rouhani, the incumbent president, was a “moderate,” the argument went, and during the campaig…

May 1, 2017

Iran
Iran’s Presidential Test

Iran’s May 19 election will pit Ibrahim Raisi, a hard-line protégé of the supreme leader, against the more centrist incumbent, Hassan Rouhani, in a contest that may hinge on the perceived economic im…

October 13, 2017

Iran Nuclear Agreement Nuclear Agreement
Kerry-Zarif-RTX22N89.jpg The Impact of the Iran Nuclear Agreement

Iran has restricted its nuclear program and given international inspectors unprecedented access, but it has not seen the economy recovery expected in the aftermath of the agreement with international…

October 8, 2017

Israel
The Coming Confrontation Between Israel and Iran

In the United States, discussions of Iran have for the last few years been mostly about the JCPOA—the nuclear deal negotiated by President Obama. In the Middle East, things are different. This is …

October 25, 2017

Iran
The President’s Iran Decision: Next Steps

Philip H. Gordon testified before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on the Middle East and North Africa on Wednesday, October 25, 2017, discussing President Trump's decision to decertify the Joi…

October 14, 2017

Iran Nuclear Agreement
John Kerry's Attack on the Iran Nuclear Decision

Former President Obama and former Vice President Biden have been among the many Democrats who have long complimented former President George W. Bush for his demeanor and conduct after leaving office…

October 13, 2017

Iran Nuclear Agreement Nuclear Agreement
President Trumps speaks about the Iran nuclear agreement at the White House. Will Decertification Spike the Iran Nuclear Accord?

President Trump’s denunciation of the Iran nuclear deal has put the agreement on shaky footing, even if Congress declines to reinstate sanctions.

May 1, 2017

Iran
President Hassan Rouhani registers to run for re-election. Iran’s Presidential Test

Iran’s May 19 election will pit Ibrahim Raisi, a hard-line protégé of the supreme leader, against the more centrist incumbent, Hassan Rouhani, in a contest that may hinge on the perceived economic im…

September 18, 2017

Israel
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei Is Iran the New North Korea? Not Even Close

Israel is alarmed about Iran's intentions — but that's nothing new. Flawed as it is, the nuclear deal is holding.