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Jun 19, 2017

China
flag_6.1.2017 China’s Soft Power—a Discussion

Over the past two decades, subsequent Chinese governments have invested heavily in soft power, particularly in developing regions of the world. Beginning in the early 2000s, Beijing began dramaticall…

May 31, 2017

China
China pays more than other similarly-ranked countries on its government debt Downgraded China Doth Protest Too Much

Moody’s recently downgraded China’s credit rating from Aa3 to A1, on expectations that the country’s debt stock—already over 250 percent of GDP—will rise further with slowing potential growth. Chines…

Jun 20, 2017

South China Sea
China Coast Guard vessels patrol past a Chinese fishing vessel at the disputed Scarborough Shoal, April 5, 2017. Two Cardinal Sins of U.S. South China Sea Policy

In previewing this week’s inaugural U.S.-China Diplomatic and Security Dialogue, acting Assistant Secretary of State Susan Thornton took a question from Anne Gearan of The Washington Post about the T…

Apr 3, 2017

China
Auto Trade with China

Autos are one of the United States’ most important exports to China—ranking just behind aircraft and soybeans and (at times) non-monetary gold (through Hong Kong). Broadly speaking, the U.S. exports…

May 11, 2017

China
An African student practices Shaolin martial arts in Henan Province. China’s Big Bet on Soft Power

China is believed to spend billions of dollars to boost its international image, but it has yet to see a marked return on its investment in soft power.

May 11, 2017

China
China's Q1 Import Surge, Disaggregated

This is a joint post with Cole Frank, a research associate here at the Council on Foreign Relations. One of the challenges China poses is that by the time something shows up cleanly in the numbers…

Jun 22, 2017

NAFTA
An employee uses a laptop next to a car body at an assembly line at a Ford manufacturing plant in Chongqing municipality April 20, 2012. If NAFTA Ends, Ford's Move to China Will Be Just the Start

Ford announced this week that instead of building its new Focus – the best-selling car in the world – in a new $1.6 billion dollar Mexico-based plant, it will ship cars for North American customers f…

May 30, 2017

China
A Few Words on China’s “New” Exchange Rate Regime

The return of the "fix" doesn't answer the more fundamental question of how China intends to manage its currency.

Jun 16, 2017

China
China Isn’t Going to Run Out of Reserves Anytime Soon

The proxies for Chinese intervention in May do not show any significant reserve drain

Jun 5, 2017

China
Tracking the Yuan Does a Banking Crisis Lead to a Currency Crisis? (The Case of China)

One key question around China is pretty straight forward: will losses in China’s banks and shadow banks—whether on their lending to Chinese firms or their lending to investment vehicles of local gove…